The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)
Risk Academy, a Nexortium programmeFaculty of Systems and Nexus Studies
Systemic, compound and cascading risk, systems modelling and global catastrophic risk
Risk also arises from the interdependence of systems: compound events in which hazards combine, cascading failures across infrastructure, economies and societies, shock propagation through networks, tipping points, the shared methods that model coupled systems and state their uncertainty, and the low-probability, high-impact risks that could harm humanity at global scale.
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Twin figures for the Tonle Sap and the Lower Mekong at Phnom Penh, counted from its layers at their stated dates.
For Department of Systemic Risk and Complexity: the faculty's twin of Tonle Sap on the planet map, the globe and in 3D. Pick a generator, switch layers, run the instruments; every layer prints its provider and date.
Drag to move, right drag or Shift with a drag to turn and tilt, Ctrl with the wheel to zoom. Keyboard: arrows move, Shift with arrows turn and tilt, + and - zoom, 0 resets, V steps through the views, Escape clears.
Flat plan of the same data: the lake and rivers, the dams, the plants by capacity, the cropland and tree cover cells and the numbers below. The 3D twin opens on devices with WebGL once its data and library have been checked; discharge, vegetation, surface water and the annual land cover load in the twin on request, each with its data date.
The map loads from this site as it nears the view (MapLibre 6.9.1, checked by hash).
The department's methods are interdependency mapping after Rinaldi, Peerenboom and Kelly, input-output propagation and the spectral radius after Leontief, network analysis with degree, betweenness and robustness to removal, agent-based and coupled models, model intercomparison and reproducible modelling, and the structured study of catastrophic risk with honesty about deep uncertainty, under ISO 31000 and IEC 31010. On the faculty's twin the department's instrument is the cascade: perturb the basin's water, energy, food or ecosystems and trace the other three through a coupling matrix whose default entries are the loop simulator's own sensitivities. A graduate can map a dependency graph with typed and sourced edges, propagate a shock through it, read whether it damps or amplifies and say what the model is not.
Department of Systemic Risk and Complexity is a department of Faculty of Systems and Nexus Studies with 5 disciplines. 2 of the 4 courses with their primary discipline here are open for enrolment now; 2 are in preparation.
A mark is one primary course, filled when it is open.
News and research as they are published, per discipline, with the faculty's other tools.
The newest research, preprints, news and humanitarian reports for 5 disciplines, each with its source and date, load here. Open the research and news hub
Systemic, compound and cascading risk, Complex systems and systems modelling, Global catastrophic risks, Tipping points and resilience of Earth and social systems, Supply network and economic contagion
Courses whose primary discipline is in this department; then the courses from other departments that also teach it, and the authoring list.
Each discipline page sets out its scope, courses, labs, technology and key terms.