Risk Academy, a Nexortium programmeSystems and Nexus StudiesDepartment of Systemic Risk and Complexity

Networks, agent-based and coupled models, digital twins and their limits

Complex systems and systems modelling

Complex systems and systems modelling covers the shared methods used to model coupled systems, test them and state their uncertainty: complexity concepts, network analysis, agent-based and coupled models, digital twins and their limits, model intercomparison and reproducible modelling.

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Complex systems and systems modelling, drawn as coupled loops: 1 primary courses open, 0 in preparation, 4 approved for authoring and 1 also taught here, across 8 subtopics. Courses: RAS-401 L2 open, RAF-125 L1 approved for authoring, RAT-251 L3 approved for authoring, RAT-258 L2 approved for authoring, RAT-263 L3 approved for authoring, RAT-220 L2 also taught here.
Complex systems and systems modelling at a glance. Drawn as coupled loops.
  • Open, 1
  • In preparation, 0
  • Approved for authoring, 4
  • Also taught here, 1
  • Subtopics, 8
Course codes from the curriculum; study levels L1 to L4.
Twin builder and simulatorThe Tonle Sap and the Lower Mekong at Phnom Penh5 twin generators, 14 layers, 2 instruments
course open now
1
in preparation
0
approved for authoring
4
dams
14

Twin figures for the Tonle Sap and the Lower Mekong at Phnom Penh, counted from its layers at their stated dates.

Twin builder and simulator.

For Complex systems and systems modelling: the faculty's twin of Tonle Sap on the planet map, the globe and in 3D. Pick a generator, switch layers, run the instruments; every layer prints its provider and date.

The Tonle Sap and the Lower Mekong at Phnom Penh: a flat plan of the faculty twin. Terrain 0 to 1,700 m; River 2,956 km; 14 dams; 6 power plants, 88 MW; Tree cover 37.8 percent of the box; Cropland 39.9 percent of the box; Built-up 0.9 percent of the box; Permanent water 4.7 percent of the box; River discharge, GloFAS via Open-Meteo: live, loads in the twin; Vegetation index, MODIS Terra NDVI 8-day: live, loads in the twin; Surface water extent, OPERA DSWx (HLS): the flood pulse: live, loads in the twin; Land cover classes, MODIS IGBP (annual): live, loads in the twin. Contours every 250 metres from the elevation grid; named rivers by class; cropland, tree cover, water and built-up shares (esa worldcover 2021) as the class holding a quarter or more of each cell; dams as marks; power plants as marks.
The Tonle Sap and the Lower Mekong at Phnom Penh, Cambodia. Flat plan of the same data: the lake and rivers, the dams, the plants by capacity, the cropland and tree cover cells and the numbers below. The 3D twin opens on devices with WebGL once its data and library have been checked; discharge, vegetation, surface water and the annual land cover load in the twin on request, each with its data date.
  • Terrain 0 to 1,700 m
  • River 2,956 km
  • 14 dams
  • 6 power plants, 88 MW
  • Tree cover 37.8 percent of the box
  • Cropland 39.9 percent of the box
  • Built-up 0.9 percent of the box
  • Permanent water 4.7 percent of the box
  • River discharge, GloFAS via Open-Meteo: live, loads in the twin
  • Vegetation index, MODIS Terra NDVI 8-day: live, loads in the twin
  • Surface water extent, OPERA DSWx (HLS): the flood pulse: live, loads in the twin
  • Land cover classes, MODIS IGBP (annual): live, loads in the twin
Credits and dates per layer are listed under the stage. Relief in the twin is exaggerated ×1.5 for legibility.

Drag to move, right drag or Shift with a drag to turn and tilt, Ctrl with the wheel to zoom. Keyboard: arrows move, Shift with arrows turn and tilt, + and - zoom, 0 resets, V steps through the views, Escape clears.

Flat plan of the same data: the lake and rivers, the dams, the plants by capacity, the cropland and tree cover cells and the numbers below. The 3D twin opens on devices with WebGL once its data and library have been checked; discharge, vegetation, surface water and the annual land cover load in the twin on request, each with its data date.

The map loads from this site as it nears the view (MapLibre 6.9.1, checked by hash).

The discipline in brief.

The discipline teaches network centrality and robustness to random and targeted removal, system dynamics with stocks, flows and feedback after Forrester and Sterman, agent-based and coupled model construction, uncertainty and validation, model intercomparison and reproducible modelling practice, under IEC 31010 and ISO 19115 for the lineage of every input. The faculty's twin is its worked example of a digital twin with its limits stated: committed extracts with provenance, live layers with their data dates, a loop whose every parameter is on screen and a cascade whose matrix is declared. A graduate can build a coupled model from open data, state its effective resolution and uncertainty, compare it with another model on the same experiment and publish it so that it can be rerun.

This area covers the shared methods used to model coupled systems, test them and state their uncertainty: complexity concepts, network analysis, agent-based and coupled models, digital twins and their limits, model intercomparison and reproducible modelling. It is taught in the department of Systemic Risk and Complexity, Faculty of Systems and Nexus Studies, through 1 course with it as primary discipline and 1 more that also teach it.

What the discipline covers.

8 subtopics, taught across its courses and labs.

Courses
1 open, 0 in preparation
Levels
L2 Intermediate
Labs
Network lab, Map lab
  • Complexity concepts
  • Network analysis
  • Agent-based models
  • Coupled systems models
  • Digital twins and their limits
  • Model intercomparison
  • Reproducible modelling
  • Emergence and feedback

Not yet taught by a course: Systems thinking foundations; Agent-based and coupled systems modelling; System dynamics and participatory modelling; Digital twins for risk.

What is changing now.

Recent developments in complex systems and systems modelling, each with its source; sources checked on 16 October 2026. Summaries are short readings of the source; follow the link for the full account.

The faculty hub.

News and research as they are published, per discipline, with the faculty's other tools.

The newest research, preprints, news and humanitarian reports for Complex systems and systems modelling, each with its source and date, load here. Open the research and news hub

1 open, 0 in preparation.

Courses with this as their primary discipline. Open courses link to the catalogue.

Courses with this primary discipline1 open, 0 in preparation

  1. RAS-401Complexity and NetworksOpen for enrolmentSystems, L2 Intermediate, 25.5 hours

4 courses approved for authoring.

Courses from other disciplines.

These courses count in their own primary discipline and also teach this one; they do not count towards its achievement as primary courses.

Also taught here1 courses that count in another discipline

  1. RAT-220Third-Party and Supply-Chain RiskIn preparationTechnical, L2 Intermediate, 10 hours (estimate), primary in Trade, supply chains and geoeconomics

What you can earn here.

Methods, frameworks and hazards.

From the Academy's risk taxonomy: the discipline's own entries and those of its primary courses, with how many courses teach each.

Methods and practice

  1. Network and systems analysis1 course

Hazard families

  1. Critical infrastructure outage1 course

Pathways that teach it.

How the subject is practised in labs.

LabWhat you do in itCourses using it
Network labBuild dependency graphs, find critical nodes, trace cascades2
Map labRead hazard, exposure and boundaries on real maps1

Where the subject is worked on.

The two Foundry systems where it is practised.

Nexus Foundry system pages describe what each system and its rooms are designed to do; they are not a service on offer, and studying here gives no access to them.

Terms used on this page.

Complex systems and systems modelling

Start with an open course.

The catalogue lists each course with its outcomes, labs, hours and level.

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