Risk Academy, a Nexortium programmeSystems and Nexus StudiesDepartment of Systemic Risk and Complexity

How a local disruption becomes a global shortage

Supply network and economic contagion

A factory fire, a canal blockage or an export restriction can stop production on other continents, because modern economies run on long and concentrated supply networks.

risksacademy.comsystems-nexusdiscipline

Supply network and economic contagion, drawn as coupled loops: 0 primary courses open, 0 in preparation, 0 approved for authoring and 0 also taught here, across 9 subtopics. Courses: none yet.9 subtopics
Supply network and economic contagion at a glance. Drawn as coupled loops.
  • Open, 0
  • In preparation, 0
  • Subtopics, 9
Course codes from the curriculum; study levels L1 to L4.
Twin builder and simulatorThe Tonle Sap and the Lower Mekong at Phnom Penh5 twin generators, 14 layers, 2 instruments
courses open now
0
in preparation
0
subtopics in its scope
9
dams
14

Twin figures for the Tonle Sap and the Lower Mekong at Phnom Penh, counted from its layers at their stated dates.

Twin builder and simulator.

For Supply network and economic contagion: the faculty's twin of Tonle Sap on the planet map, the globe and in 3D. Pick a generator, switch layers, run the instruments; every layer prints its provider and date.

The Tonle Sap and the Lower Mekong at Phnom Penh: a flat plan of the faculty twin. Terrain 0 to 1,700 m; River 2,956 km; 14 dams; 6 power plants, 88 MW; Tree cover 37.8 percent of the box; Cropland 39.9 percent of the box; Built-up 0.9 percent of the box; Permanent water 4.7 percent of the box; River discharge, GloFAS via Open-Meteo: live, loads in the twin; Vegetation index, MODIS Terra NDVI 8-day: live, loads in the twin; Surface water extent, OPERA DSWx (HLS): the flood pulse: live, loads in the twin; Land cover classes, MODIS IGBP (annual): live, loads in the twin. Contours every 250 metres from the elevation grid; named rivers by class; cropland, tree cover, water and built-up shares (esa worldcover 2021) as the class holding a quarter or more of each cell; dams as marks; power plants as marks.
The Tonle Sap and the Lower Mekong at Phnom Penh, Cambodia. Flat plan of the same data: the lake and rivers, the dams, the plants by capacity, the cropland and tree cover cells and the numbers below. The 3D twin opens on devices with WebGL once its data and library have been checked; discharge, vegetation, surface water and the annual land cover load in the twin on request, each with its data date.
  • Terrain 0 to 1,700 m
  • River 2,956 km
  • 14 dams
  • 6 power plants, 88 MW
  • Tree cover 37.8 percent of the box
  • Cropland 39.9 percent of the box
  • Built-up 0.9 percent of the box
  • Permanent water 4.7 percent of the box
  • River discharge, GloFAS via Open-Meteo: live, loads in the twin
  • Vegetation index, MODIS Terra NDVI 8-day: live, loads in the twin
  • Surface water extent, OPERA DSWx (HLS): the flood pulse: live, loads in the twin
  • Land cover classes, MODIS IGBP (annual): live, loads in the twin
Credits and dates per layer are listed under the stage. Relief in the twin is exaggerated ×1.5 for legibility.

Drag to move, right drag or Shift with a drag to turn and tilt, Ctrl with the wheel to zoom. Keyboard: arrows move, Shift with arrows turn and tilt, + and - zoom, 0 resets, V steps through the views, Escape clears.

Flat plan of the same data: the lake and rivers, the dams, the plants by capacity, the cropland and tree cover cells and the numbers below. The 3D twin opens on devices with WebGL once its data and library have been checked; discharge, vegetation, surface water and the annual land cover load in the twin on request, each with its data date.

The map loads from this site as it nears the view (MapLibre 6.9.1, checked by hash).

The discipline in brief.

The discipline teaches input-output models and the inoperability model that trace those dependencies, production network structure and the hidden higher-tier suppliers, inventories and the bullwhip effect, agent-based models of firms, and network robustness measured by percolation and chokepoints, with trade and financial contagion as the companion channels. Its cases include the 2021 Suez Canal blockage, the semiconductor shortage and the critical mineral export controls of 2025. A graduate can build a small input-output propagation, find a network's chokepoints and test a buffer against a disruption scenario.

This area covers how shocks propagate through production networks, trade and finance: input-output linkages, supplier concentration, inventories and the network structure that turns a local disruption into a global one. It is taught in the department of Systemic Risk and Complexity, Faculty of Systems and Nexus Studies, through courses still to be authored.

What the discipline covers.

9 subtopics, taught across its courses and labs.

Courses
0 open, 0 in preparation
Levels
None yet
Labs
Named when the courses are authored
  • Input-output models and the inoperability model
  • Production network structure and concentration
  • Higher-tier supplier dependencies
  • Inventories, buffers and bullwhip effects
  • Agent-based models of supply chains
  • Network robustness, percolation and chokepoints
  • Trade and financial contagion
  • Firm-level network data and its gaps
  • Disruption scenarios and stress tests

The faculty hub.

News and research as they are published, per discipline, with the faculty's other tools.

The newest research, preprints, news and humanitarian reports for Supply network and economic contagion, each with its source and date, load here. Open the research and news hub

No course yet.

No course has this as its primary discipline yet. It is listed so the gap stays visible.

Courses also taught here and the connected disciplines teach the methods it will build on.

What you can earn here.

  1. Course achievements

    One for each of the 0 courses with this primary discipline, when you pass its assessed activities; 0 can be earned now.

  2. Department: Systemic Risk and Complexity

    Earn two discipline achievements in the Department of Systemic Risk and Complexity. In preparation.

Achievements record learning completed here; they do not certify competence. How recognition works.

No ecosystem page yet.

No ecosystem page covers this subject yet. A page has been requested; no loosely related page is cited in its place.

The two Foundry systems where it is practised.

  • Nexus FoundryGRIx systemShocks propagate through production and trade networksCascades room
  • NET systemNetwork topology sets how disruptions spreadTopology room

Nexus Foundry system pages describe what each system and its rooms are designed to do; they are not a service on offer, and studying here gives no access to them.

Terms used on this page.

Supply network and economic contagion

Prepare with a related course.

Open courses in connected disciplines teach the methods this discipline will build on.

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