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Illustrative: inflow spiralling to the eyewall, ascent, outflow aloft, rain bands and the storm surge

Risk Academy, led by the Nexus Consortium · Hazards, Disasters and Resilience · Department of Hazard Science

Riverine, flash, pluvial and coastal flood, cyclones and the probabilities put on them

Floods, storms and tropical cyclones

A flood is stated as a probability before it is drawn as a depth: annual exceedance probability, return period, the standard of protection a defence is built to.

01Scope

What the discipline covers

The subtopics its courses and labs teach.

Courses
In preparation
Levels
L2 Intermediate
Labs
Map lab, Exposure lab, Geo quiz, GeoAI lab, Trigger lab, Network lab
02Maps

Build a twin of any place

Search any place or open the world; the layers and generators follow floods, storms and tropical cyclones on the planet map, the globe and in 3D.

The Kahramanmaras earthquake sequence of 2023: a flat plan of the faculty twin. Terrain 59 to 3,044 m; 2 reference earthquakes, M7.5 to M7.8; 3,643,786 people in the box, 2020; Earthquakes M4.5 and above, past week: read live when the 3D twin opens; USGS ShakeMap intensity contours: read live when the 3D twin opens. Contours every 500 metres from the elevation grid; population count 2020, worldpop 1 km as four classes per cell (edges 11, 47, 405); reference earthquakes as marks.
The Kahramanmaras earthquake sequence of 2023, Turkiye. Flat plan of the same data: relief, the two epicentres with magnitude and depth, the WorldPop count grid and the numbers below. The 3D twin opens on devices that can draw it, once its data and code have been checked.
  • Terrain 59 to 3,044 m
  • 2 reference earthquakes, M7.5 to M7.8
  • 3,643,786 people in the box, 2020
  • Earthquakes M4.5 and above, past week: read live when the 3D twin opens
  • USGS ShakeMap intensity contours: read live when the 3D twin opens
Credits and dates per layer are listed under the stage. Relief in the twin is exaggerated ×1.5 for legibility.

Drag to move, right drag or Shift with a drag to turn and tilt, Ctrl with the wheel to zoom. Keyboard: arrows move, Shift with arrows turn and tilt, + and – zoom, 0 resets, V steps through the views, Escape clears.

Flat plan of the same data: relief, the two epicentres with magnitude and depth, the WorldPop count grid and the numbers below. The 3D twin opens on devices that can draw it, once its data and code have been checked.

The boundaries, names and designations shown do not imply any judgement on the legal status of any territory, or any endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Countries: Natural Earth (public domain).

03The subject

The subject, methods and measures and debates and bodies

The field and its scope

For hydrologists, forecasters, planners, insurers and emergency managers who need to read a flood map, a cyclone forecast or a return-period statement and act on it with its uncertainty in view.

04The method

From a gauge record to a defence standard: how a return period becomes a depth, a damage and a residual risk

A gauge record fitted with an extreme value distribution gives the discharge of any return period; the floodplain turns discharge into depth; a depth-damage function turns depth into loss; a defence standard removes the loss below its design flood and leaves the rest as residual risk.

Sources: Merz, Kreibich, Schwarze and Thieken, Assessment of economic flood damage (2010); Coles, An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values (2001); Sampson et al., A high-resolution global flood hazard model (2015); Milly et al., Stationarity is dead: whither water management? (2008).

05Signature

How floods, storms and tropical cyclones connects the sectors

Select corners to build a signature, then hover a line to read what each sector gives and receives.

Signature

How floods, storms and tropical cyclones connects the sectors

6 sectors

Select corners · hover lines6 / 15 relations

Context

Urban flood

Flooded streets take out substations, pumping stations and clinic access together; drinking water fails when power does.

W · E · I · F · H · B

Sectors
4 of 6
Relations
6 of 15
Coupling
0.46 share of total

Strongest relations in play

  • Energy → Infrastructure · power for transport and telecoms0.8
  • Water → Energy · cooling water and hydropower0.6
  • Infrastructure → Water · pipes, dams and treatment works0.6
  • Water → Health · drinking water and sanitation0.7
Teaching values for a typical city-region, not measurements for any place. Coupling is the summed strength of the relations in play, as a share of all fifteen.
06At a glance

At a glance, with 5 related topics

Floods, storms and tropical cyclones at a glance

risksacademy.comhazards-resiliencediscipline

Floods, storms and tropical cyclones: 0 primary courses open, 3 in preparation and 9 also taught here, across 9 subtopics and 4 connected disciplines. Courses: RAN-325 L2 in preparation, RAN-332 L2 in preparation, RAN-333 L2 in preparation, RAF-101 L1 also taught here, RAF-106 L2 also taught here, RAF-109 L1 also taught here, RAN-303 L2 also taught here, RAN-306 L2 also taught here, RAN-319 L2 also taught here, RAN-323 L2 also taught here, RAN-327 L2 also taught here, RAN-328 L2 also taught here.
Floods, storms and tropical cyclones at a glance
  • Open, 0
  • In preparation, 3
  • Also taught here, 9
  • Subtopics, 9
Course codes from the curriculum; study levels L1 to L4.
Twin builderBuild a twin of any placeWorked example: the Kahramanmaras earthquake sequence of 2023 · 5 generators · 13 layers · 3 instruments
07Labs

How the subject is practised in labs

08Console

How Floods, storms and tropical cyclones is taught, as a process you can run

Press Play to run this process from this page's own data.

Process explorer

How Floods, storms and tropical cyclones is taught

19 steps6 stages

09Practice

Practice, learning and connections

How technology helps and what risk it brings

10Take part

Take part in Hazards, Disasters and Resilience

Start from who you are.

11References

Core references and where to begin

Start with Kundzewicz, then Merz, then Coles.

12Questions

Questions, answers and key terms

Is study here free?
Yes. Every course and learning material of Risk Academy, led by the Nexus Consortium, is free to study, self-paced or with a cohort. Ordinary participation has no fee; paid work, internships and fellowships are separate arrangements.
What does completing a course give me?
A completion record: the course, its version, the date and what was assessed, private by default and shared by you. It stacks into discipline, department and programme achievements. A record states what was studied and assessed and does not certify competence. A record is not a licence, a professional title or an employment status.
Where do the data and the places come from?
Every faculty teaches on a twin of a real place built from open data. Each layer carries its provider, licence and date, and every result on the Academy states its source. Maps and figures are indicators for teaching, never an assessment of a place.
How do I take part beyond the courses in floods, storms and tropical cyclones?
Form a competence cell of three to seven people, study a shared pathway, take a supervised assignment in the National Working Groups, or bring a cohort from your institution. Open the page for organisations.

Key terms

Term

Return period

The average interval between events of at least a given size; a statement about probability, not a schedule.

Term

Annual exceedance probability

The probability that an event of at least a given size occurs in any one year.

Term

Pluvial flood

Flooding caused directly by intense rainfall that exceeds drainage capacity, away from rivers.

Term

Standard of protection

The flood probability a defence is designed to withstand.

ReportsContribute

Contribute evidence from this page.

Reports is the Consortium's quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

Risk Academy
Floods, storms and tropical cyclones

Start with an open course

The catalogue lists each course with its outcomes, labs, hours and level.