Illustrative: water, energy, food and ecosystems as coupled cycles exchanging flows

Risk Academy, led by the Nexus Consortium · Course catalogue · Systems and Nexus Studies

Nexus-Based Risk Management

Nexus-Based Risk Management (NRM)

Nexus-Based Risk Management (NRM), taught twice over: as the working methods of the field and as its frontier since 2024, with labs on the Academy's tools, open data and the Nexus Standards.

Core course Frontier course

The discipline

01Core course · L2 Intermediate

Nexus-Based Risk Management (NRM): foundations and practice

Nexus-Based Risk Management is the Academy's encompassing frame for interconnected, systemic risk.

Level
L2 Intermediate
Study time
about 24 hours (planning estimate)
Status
In authoring
Prerequisites
An L1 course in the area, or an entry review

Why now

Treating slow-onset, compounding risks beside acute shocks is central to cross-scale, systemic risk management. Cabinet Office; Government Office for Science (UK), Chronic risks analysis, 8 July 2025

Learning outcomes

  1. Define nexus-Based Risk Management and the other key terms of the discipline and use them correctly in a written case
  2. Explain the scope ladder from entity to planet and interdependency and coupling types with a worked example and its source
  3. Apply the discipline's method to a documented case and explain each result with its source
  4. Analyse a named case against shared exposures, stating evidence, date and limits

Modules

  1. The scope ladder from entity to planet
    • The scope ladder from entity to planet
    • Interdependency and coupling types
    • Shared exposures
  2. Compound and cascade scenarios
    • Compound and cascade scenarios
    • Systemic stress testing
    • Cross-scale options and decisions
  3. Anticipatory governance across systems
    • Anticipatory governance across systems
    • Evidence, monitoring and learning
    • NRM profiles
  4. Lab: the discipline's method
    • An entity's own risk register stops at its boundary; Nexus-Based Risk Management follows the coupling from that entity to the units that share its dependencies and up each level of the scope ladder, and the product of coupling strength and shared exposure at each hop decides whether the loss fades or multiplies.
    • Work the method through a documented case and explain each result
    • Read the method's sources and stated values

Labs with Academy tools

Nexus Standards

Teaches

  • NRS-N7 Water-energy-food-health-biodiversity-infrastructure nexus coupling
  • NRS-C6 Systemic and cascading risk
  • NRS-M7 Method fabric: Networks, dependency and systemic risk

Relies on

  • NS-1 The UNI and the artefact catalogue
  • NS-16 UNI application profile (how articles, documents, code, data, APIs and interfaces carry the UNI)
  • NRS-C1 Risk vocabulary and ontology
  • NRS-C2 Risk assessment method
  • NRS-C3 Hazard, exposure, vulnerability and capacity data
  • NRS-C4 Risk data model, identifiers and exchange
  • NRS-C8 Evidence, uncertainty and provenance
  • NRS-C9 Risk models, methods and validation

Assessment

  • 40%Lab recordWork the discipline's method through a documented case and explain each result with its source and date
  • 40%Case memoApply the discipline's methods to a named place or organisation, stating evidence and limits
  • 20%Key terms checkShort answers on the key terms, marked against the definitions

Delivery

  • Self-paced online, with the labs in the browser
  • Cohort study over six to eight weeks, with a weekly lab review
  • Co-delivered with a partner institution, inside its own courses

Partner on this course

  • Co-teach a module and bring a current case from your work
  • Host a cohort for your learners, with your own schedule and review
  • Contribute a lab: a dataset your institution publishes openly, or a model
  • Review the course content and its references before it opens
  • Translate the course and adapt its cases to your region

How institutions and experts take part

In the Academy LMS

Course on the learning platform
Intermediate, 4 topics
Cohort group
A community group for each cohort of learners
Achievement
Recorded on completion of the assessed work

Open now in this discipline

References

  1. Cabinet Office; Government Office for Science (UK), Chronic risks analysis, 8 July 2025
  2. International Risk Governance Council, Guidelines for the Governance of Systemic Risks, 2018
  3. Renn et al., Systemic risks from different perspectives, 2022
  4. Hochrainer-Stigler et al., Toward a framework for systemic multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment and management, 2023
02Live map

Hazards and exposure in Latin America and the Caribbean

Flood water, active fires and surface heat beside population and night-time lights, over Latin America and the Caribbean.

The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.

Layers 3

Hazards and exposure

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

Loading the latest NASA imagery.

Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

Hazards and exposure, framed on Latin America and the Caribbean.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date. They are indicators, not assessments of any place.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · U.S. Geological SurveySources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), VIIRS 375 m active fire product, NASA LANCE; vector tiles via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). doi:10.7927/H49C6VHW. CC BY 4.0
  • VIIRS Black Marble night-time lights, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; distributed by the NASA Level-1 and Atmosphere Archive and Distribution System (LAADS DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS and VIIRS atmosphere products, NASA LANCE and LAADS DAAC; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). Cite as: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Globe: MapLibre GL JS 6.9.1, BSD-3-Clause, © MapLibre contributors.
  • Live events: NASA Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker (EONET); events are indicative and keep their original source links.
  • Live: NASA EONET Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
  • Live: U.S. Geological Survey Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
  • NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • River discharge forecast, 30 days with range (GloFAS via Open-Meteo): Contains modified Copernicus Emergency Management Service information 2026; not a flood warning.
  • Weather data by Open-Meteo.com (https://open-meteo.com/), licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
  • Optional layers (10 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Flood water, 3-day composite: VIIRS Global Flood Product, NASA LANCE · 14 Oct 2026
  • Active fires and thermal anomalies: VIIRS NOAA-20 375 m (FIRMS), NASA LANCE FIRMS · 13 Oct 2026
  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
  • Land surface temperature, day, 8-day composite: VIIRS NOAA-20 Level 3, 8-day, NASA LANCE · 14 Sep 2026
  • Night-time lights, daily: VIIRS Black Marble (VNP46A2), NASA LAADS DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
  • Aerosol optical depth, daily: VIIRS NOAA-20 Deep Blue AOD, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026

03How learning runs

How learning runs, as a process you can run

Select a scenario and press Play: course, pathway, practice, faculty, cells and record.

04What is changing

Frontier course · L3 advanced, programme courses and standards

Nexus-Based Risk Management (NRM): frontier methods

The methods, data, tools and studies that changed nexus-Based Risk Management (NRM) between 2024 and 2026, taught by reproducing them on open data.

Level
L3 Advanced
Study time
about 28 hours (planning estimate)
Status
Planned
Prerequisites
Nexus-Based Risk Management (NRM): foundations and practice; Working knowledge of a scripting language (Python or R) for the labs

Why now

Treating slow-onset, compounding risks beside acute shocks is central to cross-scale, systemic risk management. Cabinet Office; Government Office for Science (UK), Chronic risks analysis, 8 July 2025

Learning outcomes

  1. Explain what changed in nexus-Based Risk Management (NRM) since 2024 and cite the studies, data or rules behind each change
  2. Reproduce UK published its first Chronic Risks Analysis on open data and state the uncertainty of the result
  3. Evaluate a 2024 to 2026 study: its question, data, method, limits and what it changes for practice
  4. Design an analysis that combines a frontier method with the faculty's instruments, and justify each choice

Modules

  1. UK published its first Chronic Risks Analysis
    • The Cabinet Office and Government Office for Science published an assessment of 26 medium to long-term chronic risks across seven themes, from security and technology to environment, biosecurity and the economy, alongside the acute-risk register.
    • Treating slow-onset, compounding risks beside acute shocks is central to cross-scale, systemic risk management.
    • Cabinet Office; Government Office for Science (UK), 8 July 2025
  2. EU Preparedness Union Strategy adopts an all-hazards approach
    • The Commission and High Representative launched a strategy with 30 key actions to build preparedness by design across EU policies, including a crisis hub, regular EU-wide exercises, 72-hour household supplies and a first EU-wide risk and threat assessment.
    • It treats natural, technological, hybrid and geopolitical threats as one interconnected preparedness problem.
    • European Commission, 26 March 2025
  3. IPBES assessed the determinants of transformative change
    • IPBES approved its Transformative Change Assessment, by 101 experts from 42 countries drawing on over 7,000 references, on the underlying causes of biodiversity loss and options for achieving the 2050 vision for biodiversity.
    • It addresses root causes across systems, the level at which nexus-based risk management seeks options.
    • IPBES, 16 December 2024
  4. Reproduction lab
    • Extend the discipline's method with one frontier method and compare its results
    • State the uncertainty and the limits of the result
    • Peer review against a shared checklist

Labs with Academy tools

Nexus Standards

Teaches

  • NRS-N7 Water-energy-food-health-biodiversity-infrastructure nexus coupling
  • NRS-C6 Systemic and cascading risk
  • NRS-M7 Method fabric: Networks, dependency and systemic risk

Relies on

  • NS-1 The UNI and the artefact catalogue
  • NS-16 UNI application profile (how articles, documents, code, data, APIs and interfaces carry the UNI)
  • NRS-C1 Risk vocabulary and ontology
  • NRS-C2 Risk assessment method
  • NRS-C3 Hazard, exposure, vulnerability and capacity data
  • NRS-C4 Risk data model, identifiers and exchange
  • NRS-C8 Evidence, uncertainty and provenance
  • NRS-C9 Risk models, methods and validation

Assessment

  • 50%Method reproductionReproduce one frontier method on open data and state the uncertainty of the result
  • 30%Study reviewA critical review of a 2024 to 2026 study: question, data, method, limits, what it changes
  • 20%Peer reviewReview two other learners' reproductions against a shared checklist

Delivery

  • Self-paced online, with the labs in the browser
  • Cohort study over six to eight weeks, with a weekly lab review
  • Co-delivered with a partner institution, inside its own courses

Partner on this course

  • Co-teach a module and bring a current case from your work
  • Host a cohort for your learners, with your own schedule and review
  • Contribute a lab: a dataset your institution publishes openly, or a model
  • Review the course content and its references before it opens
  • Translate the course and adapt its cases to your region

How institutions and experts take part

In the Academy LMS

Course on the learning platform
Expert, 4 topics
Cohort group
A community group for each cohort of learners
Achievement
Recorded on completion of the assessed work

Open now in this discipline

References

  1. Cabinet Office; Government Office for Science (UK), Chronic risks analysis, 8 July 2025
  2. European Commission, EU Preparedness Union Strategy to prevent and react to emerging threats and crises, 26 March 2025
  3. IPBES, Thematic Assessment Report on the Underlying Causes of Biodiversity Loss and the Determinants of Transformative Change and Options for Achieving the 2050 Vision for Biodiversity, 16 December 2024
  4. International Risk Governance Council, Guidelines for the Governance of Systemic Risks, 2018
  5. Renn et al., Systemic risks from different perspectives, 2022
  6. Hochrainer-Stigler et al., Toward a framework for systemic multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment and management, 2023
05Take part

Take part in the work

Start from who you are.

06Questions

Questions, answers and key terms

Is the course free?
Yes. Every course and learning material of Risk Academy, led by the Nexus Consortium, is free to study, self-paced or with a cohort. Ordinary participation has no fee; paid work, internships and fellowships are separate arrangements.
What does completing a course give me?
A completion record: the course, its version, the date and what was assessed, private by default and shared by you. It stacks into discipline, department and programme achievements. A record states what was studied and assessed and does not certify competence; it is not a licence, a professional title or an employment status.
Where do the data and the places come from?
Every faculty teaches on a twin of a real place built from open data; each layer carries its provider, licence and date, and every result on the Academy states its source. Maps and figures are indicators for teaching, never an assessment of a place.
How do I take part beyond the course?
Form a competence cell of three to seven people, study a shared pathway, take a supervised assignment in the National Working Groups, or bring a cohort from your institution. For organisations.

Key terms

Term

Nexus-Based Risk Management

The Academy's frame for managing interconnected risk across entities, sectors, systems, regions and the planet.

Term

Scope ladder

The five levels at which risk is managed: entity, sector, system of systems, regional and planetary.

Term

Coupling

A typed link through which a change in one system affects another.

Term

Shared exposure

An exposure that many entities hold in common, such as a single supplier or a shared river.

ReportsContribute

Contribute evidence from this page.

Reports is the Consortium's quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

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