The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)
Risk Academy, a Nexortium programmeFaculty of Risk Science and Methods
Uncertainty and decision analysis, scenarios and stress tests, communication, perception and behaviour
A probability only matters once someone decides on it and someone else understands it.
risksacademy.comrisk-sciencedepartment
Twin figures for the central Apennines: L'Aquila, Amatrice and Norcia, counted from its layers at their stated dates.
For Department of Decision, Behaviour and Communication: the faculty's twin of L'Aquila on the planet map, the globe and in 3D. Pick a generator, switch layers, run the instruments; every layer prints its provider and date.
Drag to move, right drag or Shift with a drag to turn and tilt, Ctrl with the wheel to zoom. Keyboard: arrows move, Shift with arrows turn and tilt, + and - zoom, 0 resets, V steps through the views, Escape clears.
Flat plan of the same data: relief, the three reference epicentres with magnitude and depth, and the numbers below; the sampler's figure shows one precomputed field with its parameters. The 3D twin opens on devices with WebGL once its data and library have been checked.
The map loads from this site as it nears the view (MapLibre 6.9.1, checked by hash).
The department teaches decision analysis by backward induction with the value of information on the scenario tree of the Apennine twin, deep uncertainty and robust decision making, scenario design and stress testing with reverse stress tests, risk communication in natural frequencies and calibrated likelihood language, and risk perception and behaviour with the heuristics and the social amplification that shape protective action, with the L'Aquila trial of 2012 as the case on how probabilities were communicated. A graduate can solve a tree, design and exercise a scenario, and write a message that leads to action without overstating what is known.
Department of Decision, Behaviour and Communication is a department of Faculty of Risk Science and Methods with 5 disciplines. 2 of the 4 courses with their primary discipline here are open for enrolment now; 2 are in preparation.
A mark is one primary course, filled when it is open.
News and research as they are published, per discipline, with the faculty's other tools.
The newest research, preprints, news and humanitarian reports for 5 disciplines, each with its source and date, load here. Open the research and news hub
Uncertainty and decision making, Scenario analysis and stress testing, Risk communication and risk literacy, Risk perception and behavioural science, Expert judgement and elicitation
Courses whose primary discipline is in this department; then the courses from other departments that also teach it, and the authoring list.
Each discipline page sets out its scope, courses, labs, technology and key terms.